
Journal of Zhejiang Agricultural Sciences ›› 2026, Vol. 67 ›› Issue (2): 537-545.DOI: 10.16178/j.issn.0528-9017.20250005
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ZHANG Xian(
), XU Zhihao(
), ZHAN Chai, WANG Kai, LI Jiadan
Received:2025-01-03
Online:2026-02-28
Published:2026-03-07
Contact:
XU Zhihao
CLC Number:
ZHANG Xian, XU Zhihao, ZHAN Chai, WANG Kai, LI Jiadan. Analysis of grain production profits and enhancement strategies under the background of food security[J]. Journal of Zhejiang Agricultural Sciences, 2026, 67(2): 537-545.
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URL: http://www.zjnykx.cn/EN/10.16178/j.issn.0528-9017.20250005
| 统计值 | 水稻(n=27) | 小麦(n=17) | 油菜(n=8) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 种植面积/hm2 | 产量/(kg·hm-2) | 种植面积/hm2 | 产量/(kg·hm-2) | 种植面积/hm2 | 产量/(kg·hm-2) | |
| 平均值 | 61.08 | 7 575.57 | 25.66 | 5 407.35 | 11.96 | 2 143.75 |
| 标准差 | 72.76 | 1 319.15 | 24.29 | 1 462.28 | 13.97 | 528.10 |
| 最小值 | 3.33 | 6 000.00 | 3.00 | 2 250.00 | 0.67 | 1 500.00 |
| 最大值 | 280.00 | 11 250.00 | 83.33 | 9 000.00 | 40.00 | 3 000.00 |
Table 1 Grain production details of sample
| 统计值 | 水稻(n=27) | 小麦(n=17) | 油菜(n=8) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 种植面积/hm2 | 产量/(kg·hm-2) | 种植面积/hm2 | 产量/(kg·hm-2) | 种植面积/hm2 | 产量/(kg·hm-2) | |
| 平均值 | 61.08 | 7 575.57 | 25.66 | 5 407.35 | 11.96 | 2 143.75 |
| 标准差 | 72.76 | 1 319.15 | 24.29 | 1 462.28 | 13.97 | 528.10 |
| 最小值 | 3.33 | 6 000.00 | 3.00 | 2 250.00 | 0.67 | 1 500.00 |
| 最大值 | 280.00 | 11 250.00 | 83.33 | 9 000.00 | 40.00 | 3 000.00 |
| 粮食种类 | 土地年租金 | 种子成本 | 肥料成本 | 农药成本 | 人工成本 | 机械成本 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 早稻 | 14 250.0 | 120.0 | 2 457.0 | 1 687.5 | 3 375.0 | 4 800.0 |
| 晚稻(杂交稻) | 14 250.0 | 2 010.0 | 2 268.0 | 3 600.0 | 3 712.5(连作晚稻)、4 162.5(单季晚稻) | 4 800.0 |
| 晚稻(常规稻) | 14 250.0 | 120.0 | 2 268.0 | 3 600.0 | 3 712.5(连作晚稻)、4 162.5(单季晚稻) | 4 800.0 |
| 小麦 | 14 250.0 | 1 056.0 | 3 780.0 | 3 600.0 | 2 700.0 | 3 000.0 |
Table 2 Production cost and decomposition of sample
| 粮食种类 | 土地年租金 | 种子成本 | 肥料成本 | 农药成本 | 人工成本 | 机械成本 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 早稻 | 14 250.0 | 120.0 | 2 457.0 | 1 687.5 | 3 375.0 | 4 800.0 |
| 晚稻(杂交稻) | 14 250.0 | 2 010.0 | 2 268.0 | 3 600.0 | 3 712.5(连作晚稻)、4 162.5(单季晚稻) | 4 800.0 |
| 晚稻(常规稻) | 14 250.0 | 120.0 | 2 268.0 | 3 600.0 | 3 712.5(连作晚稻)、4 162.5(单季晚稻) | 4 800.0 |
| 小麦 | 14 250.0 | 1 056.0 | 3 780.0 | 3 600.0 | 2 700.0 | 3 000.0 |
| 粮食种类 | 产量/(kg·hm-2) | 政策性收购量/(kg·hm-2) | 政策性收购收入/(元·hm-2) | 经纪人收购收入/(元·hm-2) | 自销收入/(元·hm-2) | 主产品总收入/(元·hm-2) | 副产品收入/(元·hm-2) | 总销售收入/(元·hm-2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 小麦 | 5 407.35 | 5 407.35 | 12 761.40 | 0 | 0 | 12 761.40 | 180.00 | 12 941.40 |
| 早稻 | 6 331.50 | 6 331.50 | 16 461.90 | 0 | 0 | 16 461.90 | 300.00 | 16 761.90 |
| 晚稻(常规稻) | 8 253.75 | 4 125.75 | 11 056.95 | 7 921.50 | 3 432.60 | 22 411.05 | 300.00 | 22 711.05 |
| 晚稻(杂交稻) | 9 000.00 | 4 500.00 | 12 060.00 | 8 640.00 | 3 744.00 | 24 444.00 | 300.00 | 24 744.00 |
Table 3 Grain sales revenue
| 粮食种类 | 产量/(kg·hm-2) | 政策性收购量/(kg·hm-2) | 政策性收购收入/(元·hm-2) | 经纪人收购收入/(元·hm-2) | 自销收入/(元·hm-2) | 主产品总收入/(元·hm-2) | 副产品收入/(元·hm-2) | 总销售收入/(元·hm-2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 小麦 | 5 407.35 | 5 407.35 | 12 761.40 | 0 | 0 | 12 761.40 | 180.00 | 12 941.40 |
| 早稻 | 6 331.50 | 6 331.50 | 16 461.90 | 0 | 0 | 16 461.90 | 300.00 | 16 761.90 |
| 晚稻(常规稻) | 8 253.75 | 4 125.75 | 11 056.95 | 7 921.50 | 3 432.60 | 22 411.05 | 300.00 | 22 711.05 |
| 晚稻(杂交稻) | 9 000.00 | 4 500.00 | 12 060.00 | 8 640.00 | 3 744.00 | 24 444.00 | 300.00 | 24 744.00 |
| 补贴水平 | 小麦+常规晚稻 | 小麦+杂交晚稻 | 单季常规晚稻 | 单季杂交晚稻 | 早稻+常规连作晚稻 | 早稻+杂交连作晚稻 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 规模种粮补贴 | 4 350.00 | 4 350.00 | 1 800.00 | 1 800.00 | 5 700.00 | 5 700.00 |
| 地力保护补贴 | 1 479.30 | 1 479.30 | 1 479.30 | 1 479.30 | 1 479.30 | 1 479.30 |
| 一次性种粮补贴 | 251.70 | 251.70 | 251.70 | 251.70 | 251.70 | 251.70 |
| 收购环节补贴 | 4 894.65 | 5 044.35 | 1 650.30 | 1 800.00 | 6 462.30 | 6 612.00 |
| 总补贴 | 10 975.65 | 11 125.35 | 5 181.30 | 5 331.00 | 13 893.30 | 14 043.00 |
Table 4 Subsidy levels under different production modes
| 补贴水平 | 小麦+常规晚稻 | 小麦+杂交晚稻 | 单季常规晚稻 | 单季杂交晚稻 | 早稻+常规连作晚稻 | 早稻+杂交连作晚稻 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 规模种粮补贴 | 4 350.00 | 4 350.00 | 1 800.00 | 1 800.00 | 5 700.00 | 5 700.00 |
| 地力保护补贴 | 1 479.30 | 1 479.30 | 1 479.30 | 1 479.30 | 1 479.30 | 1 479.30 |
| 一次性种粮补贴 | 251.70 | 251.70 | 251.70 | 251.70 | 251.70 | 251.70 |
| 收购环节补贴 | 4 894.65 | 5 044.35 | 1 650.30 | 1 800.00 | 6 462.30 | 6 612.00 |
| 总补贴 | 10 975.65 | 11 125.35 | 5 181.30 | 5 331.00 | 13 893.30 | 14 043.00 |
| 生产模式 | 总成本 | 总销售收入 | 总补贴 | 总收益 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 小麦+常规晚稻 | 42 886.50 | 35 652.45 | 10 975.65 | 3 741.60 |
| 小麦+杂交晚稻 | 44 776.50 | 37 685.40 | 11 125.35 | 4 034.25 |
| 单季常规晚稻 | 29 200.50 | 22 711.05 | 5 181.30 | -1 308.15 |
| 单季杂交晚稻 | 31 090.50 | 24 744.00 | 5 331.00 | -1 015.50 |
| 早稻+常规晚稻 | 41 190.00 | 39 472.95 | 13 893.30 | 12 176.25 |
| 早稻+杂交晚稻 | 43 080.00 | 41 505.90 | 14 043.00 | 12 468.90 |
Table 5 Profits under different cropping patterns
| 生产模式 | 总成本 | 总销售收入 | 总补贴 | 总收益 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 小麦+常规晚稻 | 42 886.50 | 35 652.45 | 10 975.65 | 3 741.60 |
| 小麦+杂交晚稻 | 44 776.50 | 37 685.40 | 11 125.35 | 4 034.25 |
| 单季常规晚稻 | 29 200.50 | 22 711.05 | 5 181.30 | -1 308.15 |
| 单季杂交晚稻 | 31 090.50 | 24 744.00 | 5 331.00 | -1 015.50 |
| 早稻+常规晚稻 | 41 190.00 | 39 472.95 | 13 893.30 | 12 176.25 |
| 早稻+杂交晚稻 | 43 080.00 | 41 505.90 | 14 043.00 | 12 468.90 |
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