浙江农业科学

浙江农业科学 ›› 2025, Vol. 66 ›› Issue (2): 511-517.DOI: 10.16178/j.issn.0528-9017.20231106

• 农业经济与信息 • 上一篇    下一篇

低碳视角下农业绿色生产与新型城镇化协调研究——以丝绸之路经济带为例

刘露1,2(), 孔令成1,2,*()   

  1. 1.长江大学 经济与管理学院,湖北 荆州 434023
    2.湖北农村发展研究中心,湖北 荆州 434023
  • 收稿日期:2023-11-15 出版日期:2025-02-11 发布日期:2025-03-24
  • 通讯作者: 孔令成(1987—),男,湖北仙桃人,博士,硕士生导师,讲师,主要从事农业家庭经营与管理研究,E-mail:konglingcheng110@sina.com。
  • 作者简介:刘露(2001—),女,四川泸州人,硕士研究生,主要从事农业经济管理及技术经济,E-mail:2876146070@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    湖北省教育厅哲学社会科学研究项目(19Q045);长江大学社科基金重点项目(2017csza02)

Research on the coordination of agricultural green production and new urbanization from the perspective of low carbon—taking the Silk Road Economic Belt as an example

LIU Lu1,2(), KONG Lingcheng1,2,*()   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434023,Hubei
    2. Hubei Rural Development Research Center, Jingzhou 434023,Hubei
  • Received:2023-11-15 Online:2025-02-11 Published:2025-03-24

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摘要：

从低碳视角研究包含碳吸收的农业绿色生产与新型城镇化的协调关系,对实现农业绿色发展目标和城乡融合具有重要意义。基于超效率SBM模型和熵值法测算2002—2021年丝绸之路经济带沿线17个省(自治区、直辖市)的农业绿色生产效率与新型城镇化水平,运用耦合协调度模型研究两者的耦合协调关系。结果表明,样本期间内丝绸之路经济带新型城镇化水平整体呈现出东部优于西部的特征,农业绿色生产效率的增长更多是依靠农业技术进步;系统的耦合协调度在研究期内总体稳步上升,近年来呈现东南>西北>西南>东北的空间分布规律。最后,结合灰色GM(1,1)模型预测2022—2032年丝绸之路经济带耦合系统变化趋势,发现未来东南、东北、西南、西北4个区域都将进入耦合协调阶段,空间上地区差异将继续保持。因此,提出提高新型城镇化水平、加强农业绿色科技创新、建立区域合作机制等政策建议。

关键词: 丝绸之路经济带, 新型城镇化, 农业绿色生产, 耦合协调度, 空间差异

Abstract:

It is of great significance to study the coordination relationship between agricultural green production and new urbanization including carbon absorption from the perspective of low carbon to achieve the goal of agricultural green development and urban-rural integration. Based on the super-efficiency SBM model and entropy method, the agricultural green production efficiency and new urbanization level of 17 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities directly under the central government) along the Silk Road Economic Belt from 2002 to 2021 were calculated, and the coupling coordination model was used to study the coupling and coordination relationship between the two. The results showed that during the sample period, the new urbanization level in the Silk Road Economic Belt showed that the eastern region was better than the western region, and the growth of agricultural green production efficiency depent more on the progress of agricultural technology. The coupling coordination degree of the system increased steadily during the study period, and in recent years, it showed the spatial distribution pattern of southeast>northwest>southwest>northeast. Finally, combined with the grey GM (1,1) model to predict the change trend of the coupled system of the Silk Road Economic Belt in 2022-2032, it is found that the southeast, northeast, southwest and northwest regions will enter the coupled coordination stage in the future, and the regional differences in space will continue to be maintained. Therefore, policy suggestions such as raising the level of new-type urbanization, strengthening agricultural green science and technology innovation, and establishing regional cooperation mechanisms are put forward.

Key words: Silk Road Economic Belt, new urbanization, agricultural green production, coupling coordination degree, spatial differences

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