浙江农业科学 ›› 2026, Vol. 67 ›› Issue (2): 537-545.DOI: 10.16178/j.issn.0528-9017.20250005

• 农业经济与信息 • 上一篇    下一篇

粮食安全背景下种粮收益分析与提升策略

张弦(), 徐志豪(), 詹柴, 王凯, 李佳丹   

  1. 宁波市农业科学研究院 农村发展和信息研究所,浙江 宁波 315101
  • 收稿日期:2025-01-03 出版日期:2026-02-28 发布日期:2026-03-07
  • 通讯作者: 徐志豪
  • 作者简介:徐志豪,E-mail:54442862@qq.com
    张弦,从事农业经济学、行为经济学研究。E-mail:zx9203@live.cn
  • 基金资助:
    宁波市农业科学研究院院长基金青年项目(2024NKYP008)

Analysis of grain production profits and enhancement strategies under the background of food security

ZHANG Xian(), XU Zhihao(), ZHAN Chai, WANG Kai, LI Jiadan   

  1. Institute of Rural Development and Information,Ningbo Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Ningbo 315101,Zhejiang
  • Received:2025-01-03 Online:2026-02-28 Published:2026-03-07
  • Contact: XU Zhihao

摘要:

提升农民种粮收益是确保粮食安全的关键因素。本研究以宁波市鄞州区种粮大户为对象,通过问卷调查和一对一访谈的形式,深入了解其生产经营状况、成本收益及面临的增收瓶颈。研究表明,受土地成本高、农资价格上涨和销售渠道狭窄等因素影响,鄞州区种粮收益普遍偏低;收益最高的模式为双季稻(连作晚稻,为杂交稻),为12 468.90元·hm-2,而种植单季稻则会亏损;粮食安全保障依赖政府补贴,如没有补贴,则所有生产模式均会亏损。本文基于成本收益的分解和测算,分析了种粮收益低的原因,并针对性地提出了提升策略,对调动农民种粮积极性、确保粮食安全具有参考意义。

关键词: 粮食安全, 种粮收益, 成本收益分析, 粮食补贴

Abstract:

Increasing farmers' income from grain cultivation is a key factor in ensuring food security. The study focuses on major grain producers in Yinzhou District,Ningbo City. Through questionnaire surveys and one-on-one interviews,it aims to gain a deep understanding of their production and operation conditions,costs and benefits,as well as the bottlenecks they face in increasing income. This study shows that due to factors such as high land use costs,rising agricultural supply costs and narrow sales channels,the income from growing grain in Yinzhou District is generally low. The production mode with the highest profit is double-cropping rice(the continuous cropping late rice is hybrid rice),with a unit profit of 12 468.90 yuan·hm-2,while planting single-cropping rice even leads to losses. Food security relies on government subsidies. Without subsidies,all production models will suffer losses. Based on the decomposition and calculation of cost-benefit,the reasons for the low income from growing grain were studied and explored,and targeted improvement strategies were proposed,which is of reference significance for stimulating the enthusiasm of growing grain and ensuring food security.

Key words: food security, grain production profit, cost-benefit analysis, grain subsidy

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