浙江农业科学 ›› 2024, Vol. 65 ›› Issue (8): 1968-1976.DOI: 10.16178/j.issn.0528-9017.20240220

• 农业经济与信息 • 上一篇    下一篇

财政金融协同能否保障粮食安全——基于省级面板数据的经验证据

李宗宜1(), 高亚佳2, 陈垚垚3,*()   

  1. 1.浙江旅游职业学院,浙江 杭州 311231
    2.新昌县委党校,浙江 新昌 312500
    3.广州新华学院,广东 广州 510520
  • 收稿日期:2024-03-16 出版日期:2024-08-11 发布日期:2024-08-21
  • 通讯作者: 陈垚垚(1996-),男,广东兴宁人,硕士,研究方向为农业经济理论与政策,E-mail:yychen2016@126.com
  • 作者简介:李宗宜(1994-),男,浙江杭州人,硕士,研究方向为国际金融学,E-mail:leezy0205@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大项目“乡村振兴与深化农村土地制度改革”(19ZDA115)

Can fiscal and financial synergy ensure food security-Empirical evidence based on provincial panel data

LI Zongyi1(), GAO Yajia2, CHEN Yaoyao3,*()   

  1. 1. Zhejiang Tourism Vocational College, Hangzhou 311231,Zhejiang
    2. Zhejiang Xinchang County Party School, Xinchang 312500,Zhejiang
    3. Guangzhou Xinhua University, Guangzhou 510520, Guangdong
  • Received:2024-03-16 Online:2024-08-11 Published:2024-08-21

摘要:

基于2009-2020年全国省级层面的面板数据,运用面板双向固定效应模型,实证检验财政金融协同对粮食生产的影响。研究表明,财政金融协同能够显著促进粮食生产,在处理了内生性问题、替换被解释变量、解释变量滞后一期以及剔除直辖市后结果依然成立。门槛分析结果发现,全要素生产率差异导致财政金融协同对粮食生产的影响存在门槛效应,在全要素生产率高的地区,财政金融协同对粮食生产的促进作用更大。异质性分析表明,相较于东部、非粮食主产区而言,西部和东北部以及粮食主产区的财政金融协同影响效应更大。因此,在稳步推进粮食安全战略中,应该重视财政金融政策协同效应。

关键词: 财政金融协同, 粮食安全, 全要素生产率, 面板门槛模型

Abstract:

Based on panel data at the provincial level from 2009 to 2020, this study empirically tests the impact of fiscal and financial synergy on grain production using a panel bidirectional fixed effects model. Research has shown that fiscal and financial synergy can significantly promote food production, and the results still hold true even after addressing endogeneity issues, replacing dependent variables, lagging explanatory variables by one period, and excluding directly administered municipality. The threshold analysis results show that differences in total factor productivity lead to a threshold effect on the impact of fiscal and financial synergy on grain production. In regions with high total factor productivity, fiscal and financial synergy has a greater promoting effect on grain production. Heterogeneity analysis shows that compared with the eastern and non grain producing regions, the fiscal and financial synergistic effects of the western and northeastern regions, as well as the grain producing regions, are greater. Therefore, in steadily advancing the food security strategy, attention should be paid to the synergistic effect of fiscal and financial policies.

Key words: fiscal and financial synergy, food security, total factor productivity, panel threshold model

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