Abstract:

Developing agricultural low-carbon strategy is an important measure to protect agricultural ecology and promote agricultural economy. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces、autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government in China from 2007 to 2020, this paper analyzed the influence of China's agricultural export trade on agricultural carbon emissions by using fixed effects and moderating effects. The results showed that agricultural export trade had an inhibitory effect on agricultural carbon emissions in general, and the relationship between the two had the characteristics of stages, which could be divided into two stages, the first stage was the promotion effect, the second stage was the inhibition effect. Further analysis shows that the phased characteristics of agricultural export trade on agricultural carbon emissions are mainly due to the implementation of agricultural low-carbon emission reduction policies, that is, carbon emission reduction policies play a regulating role in the relationship between agricultural export and agricultural carbon emissions. Therefore, in order to achieve the goal of low-carbon emission reduction in agriculture, suggestions were put forward to strengthen the construction of agricultural export trade, strengthen the supervision of agricultural production, rationally adjust the export structure of agricultural products, change the current production mode, strengthen agricultural production efficiency, and explore the market.

Key words: agricultural exports, agricultural carbon emissions, policy adjustment