外界环境对烤烟田间成熟度形成的影响力分析

doi:10.16178/j.issn.0528-9017.20220058

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

生态环境是影响烤烟生长发育的重要因素,为了解烤烟生育期内不同环境因素的影响力,本研究利用模糊DEMATEL分析法对影响烤烟生长发育的6类14个因素进行分析,研究影响烤烟成熟度形成的外界环境的联系与影响力。结果表明,影响烤烟成熟度形成的主要的根本因素是降雨量与地形地貌,其他环境因素的影响力表现依次为相对湿度>移栽期>地形地貌>最低气温>田间管理水平>移栽方式>土壤肥力>光照强度>土壤酸碱度>降雨量>光照时数;影响烤烟成熟度形成主要的直接因素是昼夜温差、最高气温与均温等因素。不同的外界因素对烤烟成熟度的形成有着不同程度的直接或间接影响,在生产中可以利用这些环境因素间的关系并结合往年的环境信息及时调整农艺措施,进而提高烤烟的成熟度。

关键词: 烤烟, 田间成熟度, 外界环境, 模糊DEMATEL分析

中图分类号:

S572

陈少鹏, 邹毅, 曾宪立, 傅泰露, 邓大庆, 杨超, 王伟宁, 刘志明, 陈祖林, 李小波, 熊伟. 外界环境对烤烟田间成熟度形成的影响力分析[J]. 浙江农业科学, 2022, 63(6): 1240-1244.

图/表 6

表1 语言变量及其三角模糊数的取值

语言算子	三角模糊数
影响非常高(VH)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)
影响高(H)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
影响小(L)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)
影响非常小(VL)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)
无影响(NO)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)

图1 影响烤烟成熟形成的环境因素

表2 各影响因素的打分

因素	F₁	F₂	F₃	F₄	F₅	F₆	F₇	F₈	F₉	F₁₀	F₁₁	F₁₂	F₁₃	F₁₄
F₁		5.31	9.34	9.41	2.78	1.49	0.99	1.37	9.13	9.26	8.79	2.31	7.35	7.46
F₂	4.89		8.78	9.27	3.11	1.38	1.21	1.56	9.38	9.14	9.22	3.04	7.34	6.89
F₃	2.73	3.22		7.45	1.98	1.54	1.09	1.29	9.44	9.52	9.26	3.09	6.88	6.45
F₄	4.34	5.21	5.43		1.71	1.71	1.34	1.98	9.43	9.36	9.24	2.96	7.35	7.47
F₅	8.76	7.33	9.14	9.33		1.62	1.71	1.34	9.29	7.45	9.35	2.17	7.43	7.69
F₆	9.78	3.34	9.07	7.43	1.34		1.34	1.27	9.36	7.37	9.33	2.34	7.46	6.39
F₇	1.35	0.76	6.39	7.39	8.69	9.55		0.96	7.45	7.43	7.65	3.45	7.43	7.65
F₈	9.71	8.57	4.72	8.28	8.54	9.34	8.11		9.36	7.68	8.89	5.68	9.38	9.46
F₉	1.38	1.42	1.37	1.65	0.75	0.58	0.64	0.37		6.46	7.35	1.21	6.47	6.78
F₁₀	1.03	1.21	1.33	1.45	1.25	1.16	1.47	0.67	6.75		6.37	1.03	7.83	7.65
F₁₁	1.34	1.35	1.57	1.34	1.28	1.26	6.33	1.07	1.24	1.36		1.21	8.14	6.31
F₁₂	8.75	8.34	8.69	8.47	9.34	9.31	9.45	7.34	9.25	9.31	9.11		9.35	9.42
F₁₃	1.34	1.24	1.21	1.06	1.55	1.31	4.67	1.32	5.37	5.21	8.45	1.03		7.43
F₁₄	1.05	1.31	1.42	1.37	1.43	0.42	0.28	0.76	4.35	4.55	5.96	1.31	7.35

表3 语言算子转化三角模糊数后原始模糊直接影响矩阵

因素	F₁	F₂	F₃	F₄	F₅	F₆	F₇
F₁	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₂	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₃	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₄	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₅	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₆	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₇	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)
F₈	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)
F₉	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₁₀	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₁₁	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₁₂	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)
F₁₃	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)
F₁₄	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
	F₈	F₉	F₁₀	F₁₁	F₁₂	F₁₃	F₁₄
F₁	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₂	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₃	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₄	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₅	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₆	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₇	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₈	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)
F₉	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₁₀	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₁₁	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₁₂	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)
F₁₃	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₁₄	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)

表3 语言算子转化三角模糊数后原始模糊直接影响矩阵

因素	F₁	F₂	F₃	F₄	F₅	F₆	F₇
F₁	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₂	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₃	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₄	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₅	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₆	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₇	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)
F₈	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)
F₉	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₁₀	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
F₁₁	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₁₂	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)
F₁₃	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)
F₁₄	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)
	F₈	F₉	F₁₀	F₁₁	F₁₂	F₁₃	F₁₄
F₁	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₂	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₃	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₄	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₅	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₆	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₇	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.25,0.50)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₈	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)
F₉	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₁₀	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₁₁	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₁₂	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)
F₁₃	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)
F₁₄	(0.00,0.00,0.25)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.25,0.50,0.75)	(0.75,1.00,1.00)	(0.50,0.75,1.00)	(0.00,0.00,0.00)

表4 因素综合影响( D ~ i+ R ~ i)、( D ~ i- R ~ i)、( D ~ i+ R ~ i)def和( D ~ i- R ~ i)def的值

因素	( $D ~ i$ + $R ~ i$ )	( $D ~ i$ - $R ~ i$ )	( $D ~ i$ + $R ~ i$ )def	( $D ~ i$ - $R ~ i$ )def
F₁	(0.70,0.69,0.53)	(0.10,0.09,0.04)	1.31	0.16
F₂	(0.61,0.63,0.51)	(0.19,0.15,0.07)	1.19	0.28
F₃	(0.70,0.69,0.55)	(-0.02,-0.01,-0.01)	1.31	-0.03
F₄	(0.75,0.73,0.57)	(-0.06,-0.04,-0.03)	1.39	-0.08
F₅	(0.57,0.56,0.47)	(0.20,0.18,0.11)	1.08	0.34
F₆	(0.53,0.52,0.44)	(0.17,0.18,0.12)	1.00	0.33
F₇	(0.67,0.65,0.53)	(-0.01,0.02,0.06)	1.25	0.05
F₈	(0.56,0.52,0.43)	(0.47,0.44,0.23)	1.02	0.78
F₉	(0.67,0.65,0.52)	(-0.33,-0.29,-0.13)	1.25	-0.52
F₁₀	(0.60,0.60,0.52)	(-0.26,-0.24,-0.13)	1.16	-0.44
F₁₁	(0.65,0.62,0.48)	(-0.40,-0.36,-0.19)	1.18	-0.65
F₁₂	(0.61,0.65,0.49)	(0.52,0.39,0.18)	1.20	0.74
F₁₃	(0.58,0.60,0.52)	(-0.26,-0.23,-0.15)	1.15	-0.44
F₁₄	(0.52,0.55,0.50)	(-0.31,-0.28,-0.17)	1.06	-0.52

表4 因素综合影响( D ~ i+ R ~ i)、( D ~ i- R ~ i)、( D ~ i+ R ~ i)def和( D ~ i- R ~ i)def的值

因素	( $D ~ i$ + $R ~ i$ )	( $D ~ i$ - $R ~ i$ )	( $D ~ i$ + $R ~ i$ )def	( $D ~ i$ - $R ~ i$ )def
F₁	(0.70,0.69,0.53)	(0.10,0.09,0.04)	1.31	0.16
F₂	(0.61,0.63,0.51)	(0.19,0.15,0.07)	1.19	0.28
F₃	(0.70,0.69,0.55)	(-0.02,-0.01,-0.01)	1.31	-0.03
F₄	(0.75,0.73,0.57)	(-0.06,-0.04,-0.03)	1.39	-0.08
F₅	(0.57,0.56,0.47)	(0.20,0.18,0.11)	1.08	0.34
F₆	(0.53,0.52,0.44)	(0.17,0.18,0.12)	1.00	0.33
F₇	(0.67,0.65,0.53)	(-0.01,0.02,0.06)	1.25	0.05
F₈	(0.56,0.52,0.43)	(0.47,0.44,0.23)	1.02	0.78
F₉	(0.67,0.65,0.52)	(-0.33,-0.29,-0.13)	1.25	-0.52
F₁₀	(0.60,0.60,0.52)	(-0.26,-0.24,-0.13)	1.16	-0.44
F₁₁	(0.65,0.62,0.48)	(-0.40,-0.36,-0.19)	1.18	-0.65
F₁₂	(0.61,0.65,0.49)	(0.52,0.39,0.18)	1.20	0.74
F₁₃	(0.58,0.60,0.52)	(-0.26,-0.23,-0.15)	1.15	-0.44
F₁₄	(0.52,0.55,0.50)	(-0.31,-0.28,-0.17)	1.06	-0.52

图2 不同影响因素的因果关系

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